Enter AI
The big four
Win Bets: Place win bets on both Sierra Leone and Fierceness. These horses have demonstrated consistent performance and high potential for winning, making them solid choices for direct win bets.
Each-Way Bet: Consider an each-way bet on Just a Touch. This horse shows potential but might not be as strong a favorite as the others, offering a good balance for a bet that covers both winning and placing.
Exacta Box: Box Sierra Leone and Fierceness in an exacta. This bet will win if either horse finishes first and the other second, in any order.
Trifecta Box: Box Sierra Leone, Fierceness, and Just a Touch. This covers more combinations, increasing the chance of a high payout if these top contenders finish in the top three in any order.
Superfecta Bet: For a higher-risk but higher-reward bet, place a superfecta picking Sierra Leone, Fierceness, Just a Touch, and include a dark horse like Mystik Dan or Domestic Product based on their potential to outperform expectations under muddy conditions.
A second and third opinion
Hold your horses
Bonus picks for the other races
Race 1:
Exacta: Box Pure Force and Evan On Earth. Both horses have shown good form and could end up as the top two.
Trifecta: Box Pure Force, Evan On Earth, and Top Gun Rocket. Adding Top Gun Rocket could catch a mid-pack finisher improving with equipment changes.
Superfecta: Add Lou’s Legacy to the trifecta box for a superfecta bet, banking on his consistency to grab a lower-tier finish.
Race 2:
Exacta Box: Play with Scylla, Coppa Girl, and Joke Sisi.
Trifecta Box: Add Steel Racer for depth given the competitive ML odds and past performance.
Superfecta: Include Zawish and Victorious for their potential in past performance at Churchill Downs.
Race 3:
Exacta Box: Mindframe and Invigorated. Both horses show strong early career forms.
Trifecta Part Wheel: Mindframe, Invigorated, and Cornishman in varying positions.
Superfecta Additions: Consider adding Elephants Ear and Bee Dancer for their consistent performances to increase coverage.
Race 4:
Place/Show Bets: Strong Quality and U. S. Army are good candidates for Place and Show bets, offering a balance of risk and reward with their solid track records.
Exactas and Trifectas: Consider an exacta box between Best Actor, Strong Quality, and U. S. Army. For trifectas, adding a slightly less favored horse like Denington or Five Star General might yield higher payouts if they manage to sneak into the top three.
Race 5:
Consider a box with Pure Force, Lou’s Legacy, and Evan On Earth.
Longshot Bet: Manfredi could be a valuable bet for superfecta placements due to his fast training times despite low race figures.
Race 6:
Consider a trifecta box including Alva Starr, Red Carpet Ready, and Vahva. This selection balances the field’s top performers with proven records.
Longshots: For those looking for higher risk but higher reward bets, consider adding Flying Connection to exotic bets like superfecta given her decent performance but lower rating.
Race 7:
Race 8:
Race 9:
Race 10:
Race 11:
Race 13:
Discreet Mischief: Bet on place/show given its impressive Beyer of 117 and proven ability in dirt sprints, making it a strong candidate in dry conditions.
Jefferson Street: Also consider for place/show due to its solid performance history and good adaptability to both dry and slightly muddy conditions.
Exacta Box: General Partner and Discreet Mischief: These two horses because of their top performance metrics and proven track records, which make them the strongest contenders for the top two positions.
Trifecta Box: General Partner, Discreet Mischief, and Jefferson Street: Add Jefferson Street for its consistent earning and ability to finish strong, making this trio likely to dominate the top three spots.
Superfecta: Include Pirate or Raging Torrent: Consider these for the fourth spot in superfecta bets. Pirate has shown some strong performances and could be a dark horse in this race, especially with an experienced jockey like I. Ortiz, Jr. Raging Torrent has consistent Beyer figures and could perform well if the pace is fast, making either a solid choice to round out the top four.
Race 14:
Exacta Box: Gun Party and Timeout because of their top performance metrics and promising track records.
Trifecta Box: Add Dive Bomber to the mix for his speed figures and potential under dry conditions.
Superfecta: Consider including Banned for Life as a wildcard due to his training speeds and high Beyer figure.
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Source: https://decrypt.co/229239/ai-picks-kentucky-derby-horse-race-winners-horsegpt