Ethereums native token, Ether (ETH), has been declining against its top crypto rival, Bitcoin (BTC), since Sept. 3.
Ether dropped in value against Bitcoin by almost 25% after topping out in September at 0.07955 BTC. As the top altcoin declined, it left behind a trail of lower highs and lower lows, thus forming an ascending channel.
Later, ETH/BTC broke the channel to the upside on Saturday, raising anticipations about a strong extended recovery trend. But a selloff on Sunday and the ongoing session had traders test the channels resistance trendline as support.
ETH price charts suggest bullish divergence
The sentiment raised Ethers possibility to reenter the falling range as shown in the chart below.
At the same time, the formation of higher highs in ETH/BTCs daily commodity channel index (CCI) showed hidden divergence against the pairs downtrend. For the uninitiated, CCI isa momentum oscillator that measures an instruments variations from its statistical mean to spot potential reversals.
A hidden divergence is always an indicator for a possible trend reversal,notedStefan Krecher, a Germany-based market strategist, adding that ETH/BTC may rebound in the coming sessions also as the pairs daily relative strength index (RSI) remains not overbought.
Krecher anticipated Ether to hit its monthly pivot pointaround 0.071586 BTC, almost over 8% of the current levels. The upside target also coincided with the 0.618 Fib line (0.071505 BTC) of the Fibonacci retracement graph in the chart above.
On the flip side, reentering the descending channel range risked sending ETH/BTC to its range support trendline near 0.058238 BTC.
Ether price against the dollar
The bullish ETH/BTC price outlook appeared as Ether held $4,000 as solid support while rebounding over 2.6% Monday. Meanwhile, Bitcoins priceretraced almost 3.5% after setting up a similarly strong price floor near $60,000.
As a result, ETH/BTC merely looked weaker because Bitcoin rallied strongly against the United States dollar than Ether. Nevertheless, the Ethereum tokens prospects looked bullish, as earlier reported by Cointelegraph, with the aid of an ascending triangle setup shown below.
Ether broke out of the pattern on the daily timeframe but with little trading volume, showing weakness in the price trend.
The cryptocurrency now tests the triangles upper trendline as support for bullish confirmation. Should a rebound follow suit, the price could eye new record highs above $4,384, with the triangle setups target sitting near $6,500.
ETH supply crunch
Additionally, the supply of Ether tokens has been declining after the Ethereum networks London hard fork. Namely, the Ethereum Improvement Proposal 1559, which went live with the update, started burning ETH that it previously paid to miners.
Data collected from WatchTheBurnshows that the Ethereum network has destroyed almost $2.25 billion worth of Ether tokens since the London hard forks launch.
Related:Altcoins breakout even as Bitcoin price falls to $60,000
Additionally, the Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract has attracted more than 8 million ETH, thereby removing them from circulation for at least a year.
Moreover, regulated funds have increased their Ether holdings from 2.43 million ETH in November 2020 to 4.08 million ETH today,signifying increasing institutional demand.
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